Tuesday, October 02, 2012

The Big Little Conundrum

GOP Nominee Mitt Romney has a bit of a conundrum facing him in tomorrow's first face off against President Obama.

One tactic involves playing safe and intense focus on preventing any costly gaffes.  History does show that mere competence and composure going eye-to-eye against a sitting President adds substantial stature and produces a favorable feather in the proverbial cap.

However, in this particular instance with the clock ticking and unfavorable polls, many are looking to Romney (most notably New Jersey Governor Chris Christie) to take a different approach and really swing out.  But how? What creates a powerful moment, a home run sequence that truly alters perceptions in large numbers?  These are almost impossible to plan.  If you swing out hard and completely miss.....  If you launch your nukes and everyone winces or breaks out laughing.....

You're neutered.

I have to wonder about Christie's true motives for his bravado about our seeing "a different race" Thursday morning.  I doubt (as do some others) it did Romney any favors.

With three debates, perhaps the first is not the one to go for a knock out, whatever that means.  While ratings for the first debate exceed the those of the next two, "game changing" footage from any would be blasted on television until the election.

Of course, Obama also has a bat.  Is Romney really going to stay vague about how to fund his 20% across the board tax cuts with Obama standing right there?  Romney now cites his health care legislation as evidence of his compassion, but says he'll repeal similar legislation for the country.  When moderator Jim Lehrer asks him about his reference to the 47%, what does he say that doesn't make him sound like a liar when people listen to his answer next to that clip?  What specific deregulation is he talking about and how is that going to create jobs?  Oh, Medicare and Medicaid with Ryan as VP?

No matter what happens, Rush and Fox, Inc. will shout the high heavens that Romney trounced Obama, but frankly, the debates are likely much ado about little.  Almost everyone's vote is not only locked, but double locked.  Odds approach lottery figures that Christie is going to see his prediction fulfilled.  My sample space is limited, but I know no one whose vote is still subject to change.

The audience that may prove most significant tomorrow are those with fat checks choosing between the presidency and tightening Congressional elections.  Stories of shifting from the former to the latter have already started.

5 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The latest Nevada poll has Obama up by 11. His Nevada average is better than +5. If they change Nevada to "leans Obama" then his electoral count reaches 275.

For Romney to win, he has to win a state that is now "leans Obama" in addition to every battle ground.

Those with the deep pockets have to be wondering about the best use of their funds. Some Senate races are not looking good for Republicans.

10/02/2012 2:01 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

All the GOP can do is make up stories, reality, in other words, LIE.

Romney is toast.

10/02/2012 7:26 PM  
Anonymous Thomas said...

Romney's campaign has leaked (can you believe these people?) that they have prepared a whole list of "zingers" for Romney to keep in mind as the debate happens.

When the spirit moves him, I guess, Mitt can pull out one of these pre-packaged freeze dried zingers.

It will sound canned because it is.

10/02/2012 8:02 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Romney taught the liar in chief a lesson or two and will do so again in the next debate.....Go Romney!

10/15/2012 9:36 AM  
Blogger x4mr said...

Last anon. Not exactly.

11/14/2012 9:28 PM  

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