Friday, February 12, 2010

Paton Fundraiser

Jonathan Paton's campaign for Congress will kick the tires and light the fires with his first serious fundraiser on Wednesday, March 3rd. The invitation lists a Host Committee showing some of his key supporters, which include Tim Bee, Jim Click, Don Diamond, Duff Hearon, Leesa and David Lane, and others (i.e. the acronyms).

Elementary math shows Paton's fund raising easily passing six figures this month with the first wave of $2400 and $4800 checks from family, friends, and close associates. Paton is also likely to obtain some endorsements and support from the growing number of people lining up behind John McCain's campaign. The McCain/Hayworth contest is a highly symbolic flash point that has already attracted and will continue to attract national attention.

If one were to gauge the situation from the local blogosphere (tea blogs more prolifically than acronyms), one might dismiss the campaigns of both McCain and Paton. GC, IC, Red, & Co. feature McCain bashing on a regular basis. Sonoran Alliance wouldn't list Paton's web site until a change of heart just this week, when it added his site and published a Paton friendly post. Some of the tea positively froth and foam at the mention of McCain, and the CD-8 Debate Twitter of last night clearly has a dog in the fight, and it's not Paton. Tea has made a lot of noise these past few months, but in both primaries time will tell if their sentiments will translate into the feet on the street that put numbers on TV the evening of August 24, 2010.

A Democrat faces a nearly insurmountable task defeating whoever prevails in the McCain/Hayworth fight. Regarding CD-8, to note that she's ready is quite the understatement.



Blogger Sirocco said...

Interestingly, the fund-raising dynamic mirrors that of the Obama - Clinton primary race. I.e., could many, smaller contributions (tea) offset fewer, but larger donations (acronyms).

My thought is this is easier to do in a national race rather than a more local one, if for no other reason than it will be easier for Paton to drum up a few max donations from people and organizations outside the district than it will be for Kelly to drum up a lot of smaller donations from outside donors.

2/12/2010 10:09 AM  
Anonymous Anon said...

The Twitter of the debate may favor Kelly, but it is true that Kelly did well, and Paton held his own in a room with a lot of "tea."

At the very end Miller tried to trash Kelly and Paton in a way that offended the audience. It was painful.

2/12/2010 10:24 AM  
Anonymous Observer said...

According to Kelly’s web site, the results of the post debate poll on who won gave Kelly 51% with Paton 20%. This is probably a reflection of the makeup of the audience.

They claim over 500 people attended. Someone told me that Miller’s closing remarks were a disaster.

2/12/2010 12:12 PM  
Anonymous Framer said...

The place holds 700 and it was full. I don't think anyone was turned away however.

People often watch debates not just to see if someone does well, but to see if if someone else is a disaster. Miller pulled off the latter. There were actually boos. Miller actually did a decent job right up to the closing comments.

Jonathan and Jessie both did well, but Andy Goss just about stole the show. His answer on the Rosemont mine question was perhaps the best answer I have heard a politician give in a long time. It was substantive, personal, and well delivered.

I suspect that Goss, if he wants it, could follow the Frank Antenori path quite well by gaining an audience at these debates.

I'm believe that last night was possibly the end of Miller's political aspirations. I'm not sure how you recover from that.

2/12/2010 1:30 PM  
Blogger x4mr said...

Interesting observation, Sirocco, and I think what you are noting applies to more than fundraising. Hillary had the big Democrat acronyms. The race was hers to lose. Well, she lost.

Similarly, I think the race is Paton’s to lose. If Paton runs a solid campaign and makes no mistakes, Kelly faces very long odds. However, if like Hillary, a confident sense of entitlement causes Paton to commit organizational and tactical blunders, incur campaign infighting, etc., run poor ads on television, have a rotten website, he can lose to Kelly.

People wanting to judge Miller's remarks for themselves can do so. Someone posted a video.

2/12/2010 1:36 PM  
Blogger x4mr said...

I hadn't seen Framer's remark when I posted the last comment. Wow, 700 people for a primary this early is a huge turnout.

Miller criticized Kelly for working for his dad? If we discounted politicians who got great gigs thanks to their parents, that would be 2/3 of elected officials in the country.

2/12/2010 2:17 PM  
Anonymous Paul said...

Amazing. Kelly got 52% of the vote. Paton is looking a little like Tim Bee redux. Here is a pretty good story in the Star.

2/13/2010 11:09 AM  
Blogger Liza said...

I watched the video with Miller's closing remarks and it is not as bad as what I expected based on the comments here. I supposed that the "politically correct" behavior at these debates is to not use your closing remarks to attack the other candidates. Miller isn't the favorite, so I can see why he might think that it is a reasonable strategy to attack the other the candidates early on while he is still in the race. Please note that he was not ranting and raving, he had an even tone throughout. Kind of boring, in fact, as though he were reciting his grocery list. It does not appear to have worked very well, but I do not think he committed political suicide.

2/13/2010 12:09 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jesse Kelly is looking like a poor man's Randy Graf. We've all seen that movie before and it turns up crashing and burning.

2/14/2010 4:34 PM  
Anonymous Anon said...

So we have Paton as Tim Bee and Kelly as Randy Graf.

Both mean victory for Gabrielle Giffords.

2/14/2010 7:13 PM  

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