Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Post Wisconsin Potpourri

Tucson, Arizona. Researchers at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and Rice University have created the darkest material ever made by man. A scientist who asked that his name be withheld, asserted that only thing darker would be the soul of the Bush administration, "This is the darkest that a physical entity can get. To go any darker requires transcending physical reality and looking at the likes of Dick Cheney."

The material is like a roach motel for light. What goes in does not come out.

Speaking of roaches, the Arizona Daily Star has a piece today noting that the city is facing a severe revenue shortage and needs to reduce costs. They could save over a million if they cut TREO's funding levels. I would propose 55%. City Manager Mike Hein could then write the city council and declare that TREO's board approved the funding cut, but that the agency's performance would improve.

Improve from what?

Returning to utter darkness, individuals calling for the impeachment of Dick Cheney can express their views to Giffords chief of staff Maura Policelli tonight at 7 PM at the city Ward 6 Office, 3202 E 1st St. Leave the guns at home.

Speaking of CD-8, Independent Candidate Derek Tidball (last I heard) is planning to attend Drinking Liberally tomorrow night at the Shanty, 6 - 9 PM. I am going to skip the meeting I usually attend that night to meet some of the DL crowd and also Derek. Those who have time may want to drop in and meet the third candidate in the race. I will be wearing my x4mr certified blogger badge.

The Teamsters have endorsed Barack Obama, and Texas now leans in his direction. The Fat Lady is warming up back stage. She sings in just under two weeks. Hillary has a choice between the high road of a graceful bow out or the painful desperation and denial with continued shrill shelling. If she is not careful, she's going to torch re-election possibilities, period. Barring something really ugly, any damage over the next two weeks can heal. What she does to herself after the 4th can last. I consider it amazing that the announcers are saying her campaign thinks the attacks helped because the 17% Wisconsin loss was smaller than the 25+ percent losses earlier.

I have a completely different read. I think she went into Wisconsin down about 7 or so (pick your poll) and the inane allegation and transparent desperation slipped her another ten percent. Many news sites and Sirocco have some good information on how Obama is cementing his base and seriously eating into hers.

The super ticket where the two pair up is now toast about as black as the stuff the researchers created.

Her campaign's behavior continues to disgust, surprising neither Liza or myself as they try to game the system for a delegate victory over the will of the voters, which ratchets up the outrage in the bars and coffee houses. Actions of this sort quickly inflict permanent damage, and she is on a course that will lose her more than the nomination.

McCain knows who he will be facing. He is not aware that he is going to be trounced. Wisconsin pretty much torpedoed the meltdown scenario. Minus a fluke, Obama wins Texas and Ohio is a draw. Super delegates are not going to mess this up.

The blue tsunami remains plausible.

10 Comments:

Blogger Liza said...

Clinton is not going to take the high road and there will be no graceful exit. In the next two weeks, she will be throwing "Hail Mary" passes and attacking Obama on everything imaginable that she thinks might sway a voter away from him.

The best analyzed and most substantiated poll that I saw for Wisconsin was done over the weekend and had Obama at 52 and Clinton at 42 with the usual 4 percent margin of error. I expected the result to be much closer and so did many others. The fact that Obama won with such a wide spread should be telling Clinton a lot of things.

I would like to think that Wisconsin voters rejected Hillary at least partly because of her dirty campaign tactics. But, I wonder. Amy Goodman interviewed John Nichols of "The Nation" yesterday from Wisconsin where he was watching the campaigns. This is what he said:

"The most important thing to understand about what’s going on here is that both Obama and Clinton have dramatically evolved their messages. And the Obama campaign has focused an immense amount of energy on the issue of free trade. Obama went to a General Motors plant in Janesville and gave a lengthy speech of about—this was on last Wednesday. And in that speech, he really distanced himself from the Clinton administration’s trade policies and associated Hillary Clinton with those policies. Clinton has come back very hard, distancing herself as best she can from NAFTA, from China free trade and a host of other trade pacts. You would almost think, Amy, that these last few days in Wisconsin you were in Seattle in November of 1999."

The media are totally focused on the very worst that is happening in these campaigns and Hillary, of course, is very willing to keep giving them new material. But the reality seems to be that voters in some of the states are making very thoughtful decisions based on important issues.

Hopefully, Wisconsin will be much like Ohio, another state adversely affected by NAFTA.

I just hope that Obama can deflect most of the filth that Clinton intends to coat him with.

2/20/2008 2:54 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

People should read the comments at the "game" link x4mr provided. That tells you how people are reacting.

There is NO WAY she is going to get away with any of this.

The picture of the underwear and that dog is PERFECT. That is exactly is her campaign is occurring to the country.

2/20/2008 3:16 PM  
Blogger Dustin said...

I just wonder how she plans to be successful betting on texas and ohio. I mean, isn't this the rudy strategy? we see where that got him.

2/20/2008 4:22 PM  
Blogger Liza said...

Ohio is supposedly Clinton's "firewall" state. She has consistently had more support there than any other candidate including Obama, according to the polls. I think the post-Wisconsin polls will show a progressive tightening of her lead. Obama could even win, based on what we've seen, but he would probably be happy with a tie. What she can get out of Texas is more difficult to analyze because of the way the Republicans gerrymandered the districts.

But Clinton thinks that if she wins Ohio and Texas and maybe even Pennsylvania in April she can make a strong case for letting the superdelegates decide the outcome, and that is where she thinks she will prevail.

In the meantime, she will sling mud at everything Obama and work on getting those Michigan and Florida delegates counted.

She has a new slogan, "Solutions for America" and her relentless mantra is that "speeches are not solutions." SOLUTIONS is supposed to replace CHANGE.

Clinton's entire strategy was based on her being the only candidate left in the race after Super Tuesday. They were totally unprepared for what hit them, and it shows.

2/20/2008 5:13 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

She is losing it.

That Pelosi felt it necessary to say what she says at the link, on top of Richardson saying what he said this weekend is the way those that will decide are communicating with Clinton that she is screwing up.

They don't say, "You are screwing up."

x4mr is right that she is really blowing it. If she wants a political future, she needs to can it on the delegate stuff.

At the appropriate time, Gore, Edwards, Richardson, and others will slap the bitch with ringing endorsements of Obama, photo ops, and stinging condemnation.

They don't want to, but will if she keeps this change the game crap up.

If Hillary makes it necessary to do that, she is finished.

2/20/2008 5:30 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

condemnation of Clinton.

2/20/2008 5:31 PM  
Blogger Liza said...

Yeah, anon, I agree she is losing it. I am very concerned about what she is willing to do to Obama. The Clintons think they are untouchable because the worst is already out there.

I hope that the "appropriate time" is getting close.

2/20/2008 5:48 PM  
Blogger Casey DeLorme, APR said...

I'm following your commentary on Super Delegates, but needed some resources to do so (mainly, a primer on Super Delegates and a "Google Maps" mashup that shows you where delegates are and where they stand on a map of the US... which is updated live).

Got so excited about these, I wrote up a post about it on my blog (and cited yours as the inspiration).

Would it bother you if I invited folks here over for a look?

http://www.smgestalt.blogspot.com Post title: Super Delegate InfoPorn (It's just a catchy title; nothing untoward.)

2/20/2008 7:33 PM  
Blogger x4mr said...

Good comments. What I would add is the distinction between attacking Obama and delegate games. She is allowed to do the former. It's part of the game, and he needs to respond.

The latter is political suicide and reflects terrible judgment, which brings me to an important point.

Some people like to criticize opponents who have not run organizations or businesses, "They've never been a CEO or executive."

The fact is that every candidate is the CEO of their campaigns. Watching how the business of the campaign, and it is very much a business, a difficult one, tells much about a candidate.

If you compare the campaigns of Obama and Clinton, there is no comparison. While not perfect, Obama has run a good race, very good. The governor of Wisconsin commented on the machinery at work in his state.

In contrast, Clinton's campaign has been a complete fiasco. Huge blunders and missteps, no one's fault but her own, have been made and continue to be made. Competing factions argue about both strategy and tactics. They failed scenario planning 101 regarding certain outcomes, the whole lot of them stupified with their pants around their ankles after Iowa.

Attacking inspiration and hope in THIS election?!! Professing she has solutions but apparently not for her campaign? The icing on the cake and beyond comprehension: I will work to rig the game and win without the popular vote.

The dog's face is that of the country. Everyone smells it.

I might be wrong about her ability to salvage any political future. If she issues a retraction about her position on the delegates immediately and gracefully concedes the evening of 3/4, maybe she can remain in the senate.

I think Liza is right. She is so hell bent at this point she will burn it all, ruining her place in history for nothing.

2/20/2008 7:34 PM  
Blogger x4mr said...

Casey,

Thanks for the nice post at your place. Bloggers love links to their blogs. Do so as often as you like.

I'll add your site to my blog roll.

I would recommend you produce a blog roll. Readers find them most useful, and it establishes a certain neighborhood feel. It also tells people what types of sites you consider useful. You have already mentioned a few of the places you like to go.

2/20/2008 7:45 PM  

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