Monday, October 01, 2007

GOP Arranging Chairs on Titanic

The growing concentration of wealth and the decline of the middle class exacerbated by the Bush administration’s tax cuts has resulted (surprise) in a growing number of the population believing that the country is splitting into "Haves" and "Have Nots" as reported in September by the Pew Research Center.

At some point, even conservative individuals who believe in the principles of Christianity and Jesus Christ will recognize that screwing the poor to stuff the bulging pockets of the rich doesn’t sit well with the individual they worship as the son of God. At some point the dots will connect.

Among young white evangelical Christians, those 18 to 29 years old, while remaining staunchly conservative (positions and convictions remaining steady), affiliation with the GOP and support of the White House is plummeting. Whether they have read Tempting Faith (written by White House insider David Kuo who witnessed the contempt the Rove machine has for the faithful sheep) or increasing concern regarding the environment or economy, the GOP is currently losing this group. Also, a lot of these folks are Web 2.0 omnivores. Conservatives are growing uncomfortable with mounting evidence that the GOP has dropped on its knees for the richest of the rich, serving neither conservatism, the country, nor the general population.

Statistical regressions (a sensitive topic for a certain blogger these days) show the belief that the country is bifurcating into rich and poor most strongly follows party affiliation. When asked if they believed the country was dividing, people responded as follows. Note the trends:

----------------------1988-----2001-----2007
Republicans--------19----------34--------33
Democrats----------32---------52--------63
Independents------26---------44--------46

Like the trend in GOP affiliation by young Christians, the Independents trend more or less mirrors the Democrats, not the GOP. The graphs on approval of the war and approval of the president have the same feature. Regarding the war, Independents and Democrats are statistically very close with opposition numbers in the mid-seventies. Iraq is a GOP war, and everyone knows it. As the nation gears up for the 2008 election the money has already started voting, and according to the Star's Daniel Scarpinato, it is voting blue at an astonishing 14 to 1 ratio. I don't expect that ratio to hold up, but it speaks volumes.

The GOP just loves the rich. Given the tax cuts Lord "deficits don’t matter" Cheney implemented, no doubt the rich also love the GOP. The problem with the love affair is that even the handful of guingotillionaires in the Cheney club don’t have enough money to buy ALL of the elections. The country’s got over 300 million people.

Of that 300 million, consider how many can afford a home, get health insurance, or believe their children get a quality education? How many? Would you like to see the chart of what they think of the war? I posted it awhile back contrasting two graphs, the first on Vietnam and the second on Iraq. On that second graph, note the Independents.

The Independents are not shown in the red vs. blue graph here, but one requires little imagination to guess what's going on in that group.

4 Comments:

Blogger Liza said...

From today's broadcast of "Democracy Now:"

"Conservative Christians Consider Supporting Third Party Candidate

Salon.com reports a powerful group of conservative Christian leaders decided Saturday at a private meeting in Salt Lake City to consider supporting a third-party candidate for president if a pro-choice nominee like Rudy Giuliani wins the Republican nomination. The decision was made during a gathering of the Council for National Policy. Christian leaders involved in the decision include James Dobson of Focus on the Family, Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council and former presidential candidate Gary Bauer."

I think this is interesting. Conservative Christians who find themselves at odds with the GOP have no place to go. They certainly can't be Democrats. Progressives have a similar dilemma with the Democrats.

10/01/2007 5:42 PM  
Blogger x4mr said...

Liza,

Exactly, and the Salt Lake City meeting has made top headlines and the national network news.

Although I disagree profusely with many of their positions, I can at least respect conservatives. They actually do believe in something other than pure greed.

My contempt for the corporate whores has hardly been subtle.

I would love to see the conservatives form their own party. I would find the platform they create, the principles they articulate, and the general conversation they forward very interesting.

Free of the need to proclaim the religious stuff, would the GOP come clean and call itself "The Billionaire Party"?

Of course not. The cry babies will be too busy wailing about the campaign ads they don't like.

Lord Cheney and his prostitutes pursue an agenda having nothing to do with conservatism. Any conservative with a brain (Gingrich) knows this. I think we're looking at a couple of frogs realizing the water is already too hot.

10/01/2007 7:00 PM  
Blogger Sirocco said...

An increasing number of Americans say there is a need for a 3rd "major" party. The problem is, how do you go about creating one?

In the short term at least (and "short" in this context likely means several decades anyway), any group which seriously split from either the Democratic or Republican party to attempt to form a 3rd party would simply be on the losing side for some time, as would the party which was split.

Even if Giuliani is the nominee, I can't see these folks leaving the Republican party - all that would do is guarantee some liberal, pro-choice candidate would be in the White House anyway. Unless they are willing to live with that situation for 20 years (at least), I don't see a split occurring, no matter how tough the rhetoric.

What could certainly occur is a lack of support in money, in volunteers, in turnout ... but a complete split, no way.



Mind you, a split in both parties, leading to four "major" parties and forms of parliamentary government in the House and Senate (where blocs need to be formed to elect Speakers) would make for some wild times.

10/02/2007 6:57 AM  
Blogger Liza said...

Right now people who really do not like the GOP and the Democrats register as independents. And, of course, there are other reasons for being independent. One possibility that I see is that you might see some successful independent candidates in local races, rather than party affiliated candidates. That may be how it starts.

10/02/2007 8:13 AM  

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