Tucson, Arizona. A couple days ago I posted analysis of the growing population of Arizona, which has become the fastest growing state in the nation. As I said, Arizona is becoming the state of Maricopa. What are the political implications?
I assert one can draw many significant political conclusions based on the information from that story and will make some of them.
1. Arizona will not elect a Governor from outside Maricopa County.
2. Arizona will not elect a United States Senator from outside Maricopa County.
3. Pima County’s influence on Arizona’s state policies will continue to decline.
While the reader may at first consider the statements irrelevant, I suggest they have meaningful implications.
Starting with the first assertion, many bloggers including myself have speculated on Republican Tim Bee, currently president of the state senate, running for governor. Forget it. I recant my earlier remarks on the possibility, and I disagree with Roger (still a great guy) who has made statements on several blogs that Bee would have a decent shot.
Moving to the second, we have a young and ambitions congresswoman in CD 8. Assuming the ambition continues and she desires further upward trajectory in politics, she has already topped out in terms of Arizona. Her moving to Maricopa would be problematic given her strong comments about southern Arizona. I am not saying she doesn’t like Phoenix, but the 2006 campaign material, ads, and articles in the press paint a picture inconsistent with a move to Maricopa.
For the third, I have little to say. I am not qualified to discuss re-districting and what happens after the next census, but it bodes well for Maricopa and Pinal, not Pima.
Arguments to the contrary are not only welcome, but invited.