Friday, August 03, 2007

Arizona CD 8 Movement

Tucson, Arizona. Yeah, I'm a little slow on this one. Been busy. I've already reported that Tim Bee will face Gabrielle Giffords for Arizona's congressional district 8. Somehow I think the language at Bee's Web site will change soon. The question is when Tim Bee will resign so he can begin the heavy lifting. Framer noticed Daniel's article before I did. For those not clear, this cements it. According to Framer (well ahead of Daniel at an earlier July 20 post), Meg Econ (former county GOP 1st Vice-Chair) will be working on the campaign.

I find Bee's spin on her fund raising interesting:

"Giffords contributors gave early," he said. "I think it demonstrates the fact that they’re very concerned about the race."

Bee's math has found the angle to run and remain important after a loss. The GOP strategy against both Giffords and Mitchell will be that they are not a match for their districts. Both incumbents must craft powerful answers to the assertion.

5 Comments:

Blogger thinkright said...

X4MR,
Tim will serve out his term. We may never have another Prez of the Senate from Southern AZ and he has a lot to accomplish for us. If you get a chance to meet him, be sure to, he knows his biz & understands that he represents all constituents (left & right)...he is a sharp fellow.

TR

8/03/2007 9:41 PM  
Blogger x4mr said...

I won't argue, but this idea of serving out his term, wow.

I think my prior posts show my awareness that he is a "sharp fellow."

Everyone knows beating Graf was a cakewalk. Bee will be anything but.

I'm willing to hear arguments to the contrary. I think Giffords will win, but a loss for her is far more damaging than a loss for Bee.

Bee is already framing the language for what's next should this effort fail. Should Giffords fall against Bee, she faces difficult options regarding elected office.

A 2008 loss to Bee dismisses a run for Janet's spot in 2010. For Bee, a loss in 2008 does NOT dismiss a run for Janet's slot in 2010.

My radar: Bee gives Giffords a nail biter in 2008 that creates high exposure for both. She wins and cements her seat, but he launches a run to replace Janet. He is going to have to be awesome to break the Maricopa boundary for G, but as president of the Senate and given the other choices, he has a non trivial shot.

8/03/2007 10:49 PM  
Anonymous Kelly said...

Meg moved on from 1st Vice-Chair a while ago.

8/04/2007 7:07 AM  
Blogger x4mr said...

Thanks, Kelly. I added "former" to the post.

Thinkright, completing his term delays a real campaign launch until when? May or June 2008? How could that work?

8/04/2007 9:51 AM  
Blogger thinkright said...

Sorry for the delayed response. Attended the Marana Chamber of Commerce annual bowling tournament (TR bowled a 175 & my team placed 2nd).
Tim’s work as State Senate Prez from Southern AZ is too important not to complete. Once he can file papers, then the campaign can begin.
Steve Huffman filed and finished out his term in 2006 (completely different circumstances & Tim is a well-regarded candidate); so, resign to run isn’t applicable.
TR

8/04/2007 2:58 PM  

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