Wednesday, July 11, 2007

Bee's Dilemma

Tucson, Arizona. So what's a highly successful, popular, conservative president of the Arizona senate to do in 2008? The decision is painful. Janet terms out in 2010. Giffords is gearing up. What does it mean to win? What does it mean to lose? My math says to maneuver for governor. Tim Bee would make a good governor. He can put things together and achieve progress. He commands respect from many.

Talk escalates of a run against Giffords. I surprise no one by asserting this is a mistake. He will lose. Senator Bee, please do your homework and carefully weigh everything including Iraq, Bush, corruption, Cheney, the deficit, and pass on 2008.

Become our governor in 2010. If you start laying the track now and keep up the excellent work you are doing, you can do this. In 2010, you will not face an incumbent. Access the competition. Who can beat you? My assertion - no one if you run a smart campaign starting now with what can be done now, and kicking into high gear when you term out.

7 Comments:

Blogger AZW88 said...

You make some valid points, but alas, you have an admitted bias. You have a 'thing' for Giffords......

Not that it is a bad thing, she is kinda hot....

7/11/2007 8:21 AM  
Blogger Sirocco said...

Running to replace Janet is not exactly a sure thing. You can certainly expect some competition in the primary from one or more candidates from Maricopa, and anyone who isn't crazy will be hard to beat because of the built-in demographics.

Then, if you get by that you still have to win the general, which, as Janet has demonstrated, is entirely possible for a Dem to achieve.

Mind you, the political climate in 2010 is likely to be better for Republicans than the 2008 climate will be, but still ... it's not an easy decision.

I haven't seen the quarterly fundraising figures yet. It will be interesting to see what they show.

7/11/2007 10:02 AM  
Blogger Travis said...

Put a Republican in the governor's office, doesn't matter what a swell guy he is, and there is nobody left to protect the rest of the state from the wingnuts who dominate the legislature. Janet uses the veto, is a tough negotiator, and is way smarter than the wingnuts. Are you able to say the same about Bee?

7/11/2007 10:51 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

How about Giffords for Governor in 2010? She would be perfect...

7/11/2007 11:08 AM  
Blogger roger said...

I am with X4mr and have said so. All bias aside. An open seat Gov. spot, a state race vs. a federal one where issues like Iraq, Iraq, Iraq...will spank him, and time to continue to do his work as Senate President without having to try to outraise Giffords, who will undoubtably have about 700k in the bank after this reporting comes out in the coming week.

7/11/2007 12:59 PM  
Blogger x4mr said...

Sirocco,

In no way do I suggest the governor race is a cakewalk. Bee does not face a cakewalk, period. I don't think he can beat Giffords. Biased or not, I just don't. She continues to build strength and assets, not just financial.

You may know better than me what the blue side can put up for governor. Who? I admit my ignorance. I can think of no one. What democrat could beat Bee for governor. Anyone have a name?

Bee's challenge is getting the GOP nod, and yes, that will be a challenge. Much depends on the GOP schizophrenia between moderate folks and nutjobs. Bee is quite conservative, but he has that talent of appearing moderate and reasonable.

I've said it before and will say it again, the seething venom towards the White House and its messes make 2008 against Giffords a nightmare.

7/11/2007 9:46 PM  
Blogger roger said...

So, those of you who know about Sucession of politicians in Arizona, a question.

What happens if the Dems win in 2008 and Janet enters the administration as a VP or Attorney General of the United States (not unthinkable at all folks).

Would that mean that Bee and others would have less time to wait? Is a successor appointed? Special election?

7/12/2007 3:29 PM  

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